20
Ago
Goldman Sachs has lowered its forecast for a potential US recession to 20%, following a reassessment prompted by the latest employment and retail trade data. The change comes after it raised its recession probability earlier this month, initially pegged at 25% due to disappointing job growth figures in early August. Earlier, Goldman Sachs economic analysts had raised their recession risk estimates when the July jobs report showed nonfarm payrolls rose by just 114,000, significantly below expectations and down from the revised June figures. The disappointing report contributed to a temporary stock market downturn and raised alarms about the potential weakening…
